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How to reach conclusions with greater confidence

There is no perfect decision, just the best decision in the current timeline using the currently available facts.  Here are some tips

1. Define the decision clearly

 Write down exactly what you need to decide. A vague question such as “What should I do next?” is not helpful whereas a specific decision such as “Should I accept this offer by Friday?” is more easily reached..

2. Separate facts from fears

List what you know for certain, what you believe might happen and what you are just worried about. Separate out worst-case scenarios from most likely outcomes.

3. List your priorities

Consider what matters most in this situation. When options involve trade-offs, it is useful to list in terms of your priorities 

4. Consider all the options

Write down the main choices you are facing, including the possibility of delaying the decision, taking smaller steps or finding a compromise. 

5. Look at the consequences

 For each option, consider the likely short-term and long-term outcomes. Ask yourself:

  • What might improve if I choose this option?
  • What difficulties could it create?
  • Which consequences are temporary, and which may be lasting?

6. Seek advice from experts

 Speak with people who have relevant experience, understand your circumstances or can offer an impartial perspective. But think through their opinions and make your own assessment too.

7. Notice your emotional response

Anxiety may signal uncertainty or risk, but it may also be a habit that leads to avoidance of all risk. Ask yourself if what you are fearing is realistic and add that into the information before reaching a decision

8. Accept that uncertainty is normal

Confidence does not mean always feeling completely certain. Sometimes it means recognising that no option is perfect and choosing the one that best fits your circumstances and values.


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